Predicting Trend of High Frequency CSI 300 Index Using Adaptive Input Selection and Machine Learning Techniques-中国期刊网

摘要 High-frequencystocktrendpredictionusingmachinelearnershasraisedsubstantialinterestinliterature.Nevertheless,thereisnogoldstandardtoselecttheinputsforthelearners.Thispaperinvestigatestheapproachofadaptiveinputselection(AIS)forthetrendpredictionofhigh-frequencystockindexpriceandcomparesitwiththecommonlyuseddeterministicinputsetting(DIS)approach.TheDISapproachisimplementedthroughcomputationoftechnicalindicatorvaluesondeterministicperiodparameters.TheAISapproachselectsthemostsuitableindicatorsandtheirparametersforthetime-varyingdatasetusingfeatureselectionmethods.Twostate-of-the-artmachinelearners,supportvectormachine(SVM)andartificialneuralnetwork(ANN),areadoptedaslearningmodels.AccuracyandF-measureofSVMandANNmodelswithboththeapproachesarecomputedbasedonthehigh-frequencydataofCSI300index.TheresultssuggestthattheAISapproachusingt-statistics,informationgainandROCmethodscanachievebetterpredictionperformancethantheDISapproach.Also,theinvestmentperformanceevaluationshowsthattheAISapproachwiththesamethreefeatureselectionmethodsprovidessignificantlyhigherreturnsthantheDISapproach.

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Predicting Trend of High Frequency CSI 300 Index Using Adaptive Input Selection and Machine Learning Techniques

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Predicting Trend of High Frequency CSI 300 Index Using Adaptive Input Selection and Machine Learning Techniques

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