Using an Adaptive Genetic Algorithm to Improve Finance Decision

(整期优先)网络出版时间:2004-03-13
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Optimisingbothqualitativeandquantitativefactorsisakeychallengeinsolvingconstructionfinancedecisions.Thesemi-structurednatureofconstructionfinanceoptimisationproblemsprecludesconventionaloptimisationtechniques.Withadesiretoimprovetheperformanceofthecanonicalgeneticalgorithm(CCA)whichischaracterisedbystaticcrossoverandmutationprobability,andtoprovidecontractorswithaprofit-risktrade-offcurveandcashflowprediction,anadaptivegeneticalgorithm(AGA)modelisdeveloped.TenprojectsbeingundertakenbyamajorconstructionfirminHongKongwereusedascasestudiestoevaluatetheperformanceofthegeneticalgorithm(CA).TheresultsofcasestudyrevealthattheACAoutperformedtheCGAbothintermsofitsqualityofsolutionsandthecomputationaltimerequiredforacertainlevelofaccuracy.TheresultsalsoindicatethatthereisapotentialforusingtheGAformodellingfinancialdecisionsshouldbothquantitativeandqualitativefactorsbeoptimisedsimultaneously.