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199 个结果
  • 简介:SimulationofEastAsianSummerMonsoonwithIAPCGCMChenQiying(陈起英),①YuYongqiang(俞永强)andGuoYufu(郭裕福)InstituteofAtmosphericPhysics,Ch...

  • 标签: East ASIAN SUMMER MONSOON Coupled OCEAN-ATMOSPHERE
  • 简介:MONTHLYANDSEASONALOPERATIONALNUMERICALWEATHERPREDICTIONINTHESUMMEROF1994SongQingli(宋青丽)andZhengQinglin(郑庆林)MONTHLYANDSEASONAL...

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  • 简介:在季风发行量上与亚洲夏天季风和他们的影响的预言联系的风地的系统的错误在这份报纸被学习了。每天运作的分析和预报(直到day-5)预报的中等范围天气(NCMRWF)的国家中心,印度在为时期6月的亚洲夏天季风领域上,1995的7月和8月为目的被成为使用。与低级流动联系的系统的错误描出,在贸易的力量的减小弯屈导致在印度洋上生气赤道的流动以及西的流动变弱。上面的水平误差意味着在回来流动的强度西藏的反气旋和减小变弱进南部的半球。进一步,这些错误随预报时期的增加表示成长趋势。除了动能预算学期的一般低估,模型预报没能代表短暂旋涡。预报显示在旋涡的变换的增加的趋势意味着动能。这些错误使衰弱有预报时期的增加的亚洲夏天季风循环。关键词季风-系统的错误-动能预算作者对为提供数据和计算设备执行现在的学习的NCMRWF感激。

  • 标签: MONSOON Systematic ERRORS KINETIC energy BUDGET
  • 简介:Therelationshipbetweentheall-IndiasummermonsoonrainfallandsurfacepressureovertheIndianregionhasbeenexaminedtoobtainausefulpredictorforthemonsoonrainfall.Thedataseriesofall-Indiamonsoonrainfallandthemeanpressuresofthreeseasonsbeforeandafterthemonsoonseasonaswellasthewinter-to-springpressuretendency(MAM-DJF)at100stationsfortheperiod1951-1980havebeenusedintheanalysis.Theall-Indiamonsoonrainfallisnegativelycorrelatedwiththepressureofthespring(MAM)seasonprecedingthemonsoonandwinter-to-springseasonaldifferenceaspressuretendency(MAM-DJF),atalmostallthestationsinIndia,andsignificantlywiththepressuresovercentralandnorthwesternregions.Theaveragemeansealevelpressureofsixstations(Jodhpur,Ahmedabed,Bombay,Indore,SagarandAkola)intheWesternCentralIndian(WCI)regionshowedhighlysignificant(at1%level)andconsistentCCsof-0.63forMAMand-0.56forMAM-DJFfortheperiod1951-1980.T

  • 标签: MONSOON SEASON rainfall winter INDIA TENDENCY
  • 简介:ThetimingoftheSouthAsianHigh(SAH)establishmentovertheIndochinaPeninsula(IP)fromApriltoMayanditsrelationstothesetupofthesubsequenttropicalAsiansummermonsoonandprecipitationovereastern-centralChinainsummerareinvestigatedbyusingNCEP/NCARdailyreanalysisdata,outgoinglongwaveradiation(OLR)dataandthedailyprecipitationdatafrom753weatherstationsinChina.ItisfoundthatthetransitionsofthezonalwindverticalshearandconvectionestablishmentovertropicalAsiaareearlier(later)intheyearsofearly(late)establishmentofSAH.Inthelowertroposphere,anti-cyclonic(cyclonic)anomalycirculationdominatestheequatorialIndianOcean.Correspondingly,thetropicalAsiansummermonsoonestablishesearlier(later).Furthermore,theatmosphericcirculationandthewatervaportransportintheyearsofadvancedSAHestablishmentaresignificantlydifferentfromthedelayedyearsinAsiainsummer.Out-of-phasedistributionofprecipitationineastern-centralChinawillappearwithaweak(strong)SAHandwesternPacificsubtropicalhigh,strong(weak)ascendingmotionintheareasouthofYangtzeRiverbutweak(strong)ascendingmotionintheareanorthofit,andcyclonic(anti-cyclonic)watervaporfluxanomalycirculationfromtheeastern-centralChinatowesternPacific.Accordingly,thetimingoftheSAHestablishmentattheupperlevelsofIPisindicativeofthesubsequentonsetofthetropicalAsiansummermonsoonandtheflood-droughtpatternovereastern-centralChinainsummer.

  • 标签: South-Asian High Indochina Peninsula tropical Asian summer monsoon precipitation over eastern-central China in summer
  • 简介:WesternChinaexperiencedanextremehotsummerin2015,breakinganumberoftemperaturerecords.Thesummermeansurfaceairtemperature(SAT)anomalywastwicetheinterannualvariability.Thehottestdaytimetemperature(TXx)andwarmestnight-timetemperature(TNx)werethehighestinChinasince1964.Thisextremehotsummeroccurredinthecontextofsteadilyincreasingtemperaturesinrecentdecades.Wecarriedoutasetofexperimentstoevaluatetheextenttowhichthechangesinseasurfacetemperature(SST)/seaiceextent(SIE)andanthropogenicforcingdrovetheseverityoftheextremesummerof2015inwesternChina.Ourresultsindicatethatabout65%-72%oftheobservedchangesintheseasonalmeanSATandthedailymaximum(Tmax)anddailyminimum(Tmin)temperaturesoverwesternChinaresultedfromchangesinboundaryforcings,includingtheSST/SIEandanthropogenicforcing.Fortherelativeroleofindividualforcing,thedirectimpactofchangesinanthropogenicforcingexplainabout42%oftheSATwarmingand60%(40%)oftheincreaseinTNxandTmin(TXxandTmax)inthemodelresponse.ThechangesinSST/SIEcontributedtotheremainingsurfacewarmingandtheincreaseinhotextremes,whicharemainlytheresultofchangesintheSSToverthePacificOcean,whereasuperElNi?oeventoccurred.OurstudyindicatesaprominentroleforthedirectimpactofanthropogenicforcingintheseverityoftheextremehotsummerinwesternChinain2015,althoughthechangesinSST/SIE,aswellastheinternalvariabilityoftheatmosphere,alsomadeacontribution.

  • 标签: SEVERITY of temperature EXTREMES summer 2015
  • 简介:TheimpactoforbitalparametersontheclimateofChinaintheHoloceneissimulatedfrom11kaBPto0kaBPwithanintervalof1kausingNationalCenterforAtmosphericResearch(NCAR)CommunityAtmosphereModelversion2(CAM2).Thegeographicdistributionsofsummerprecipitationaroundboth9kaBPand4kaBPwererealisticallycapturedbyCAM2,comparedtotheproxydatacollectedfrom80stations.Amongallorbitalparameters,theprecessionplaysamajorroleincomputingsolarradiation,whichdominatesthevariationsofsummerprecipitationoverChinaduringtheHolocene.Thesummersaround9kaBPwerethewettestinChina.Lateron,theprecipitationgraduallyreducedtotheminimumaround0kaBPbyabout10%.ThistremendouschangeoccurredfromtheNortheastChinaandtheeasternInnerMongoliaextendingsouthwestwardstotheQinghai-TibetPlateau,especiallyovertheQinghai-TibetPlateau.

  • 标签: HOLOCENE 气候模拟 轨道的参数 气候湿度
  • 简介:Usingamodifiednumericalmodelwithhigherresolutionbothhorizontalandverticaldirections,thesurfacefluxesofthesensibleandlatentheatintheHEIFE(HeiheFieldExperiment)regionwerediagnosed.Basedonstatisticalanaly-sisforthediagnosticfluxes,therepresentativenessandlocationofobservationalstationsintheHEIFEregionwereinves-tigated,aconcreteschemeforsettinguptheobservationalstationsintheHEIFEregionwithdifferentunderlyingsur-facesareobtainedandthegeneralprincipleofchoosingthelocationsofobservationalstationswithbetterrepresentativenessisproposed.

  • 标签: HEIFE REPRESENTATIVENESS of OBSERVATIONAL STATIONS SETTING
  • 简介:数字模拟被执行调查云冷凝作用原子核(CCN)的效果microphysical过程和下得很大的冰雹的降水特征上的集中。二个下得很大的冰雹案例被模仿,一个春天案例和一个夏天案例在北中国的一个半干旱的区域,与地区性的大气的建模系统。结果被用来调查在春天和夏天下得很大的冰雹之间的CCN效果的差别和类似。类似是:(1)当混合比率的全部的冰阶段提高时,混合比率的全部的hydrometeor减少,与增加CCN集中;(2)CCN集中的改进导致小型的hydrometeor粒子,但是一减少大尺寸的hydrometeor粒子的更大的数量的生产;(3)当CCN集中增加,supercooled云水和雨水做更小的贡献下冰雹,当时冰阶段hydrometeors在冰雹的生长呈现活跃角色;(4)当CCN集中增加时,当相对,角色与冰阶段降水的相比在全部的降水还原剂的数量由液体阶段降雨玩了时,全部的降水的数量减少。二暴风雨之间的差别包括:(1)CCN集中的增加趋于减少在春天案例中混合比率的太古的冰,但是在夏天案例中提高他们;(2)冰阶段hydrometeor粒子贡献更多在春天盒子中招呼生长,当液体水在夏天盒子中更作出贡献时;(3)CCN集中的增加在不同季节在表面冰雹降水上有不同效果。

  • 标签: 数值模拟 冰雹云 夏季 气溶胶 区域大气模拟系统 特征浓度
  • 简介:Inrecentyears,especiallyinthesummerof2002,themostseriousforestfiresoccurredintheDaxinganMountainofHeilongjiangprovinceandInnerMongolia.TherehasbeenlongtimeseriousforestfireenvironmentinsummerinDaxinganMountain.Thegrassintheforestisscorchedforlongtimedroughtandthemoisturecontentoflitterandturflayerdecreaserapidly.Theaccumulationanddrynessoffuelbuildthesummerforestfireenvironment,whicharemajorcausedbyMeteorologicalenvironment....

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  • 简介:从NCEP和OLR数据的850hPa风地数据被用来在华南海和他们的相互的关系学习西南的风和OLR的变化行为。一个季风索引被提出那在这个区域反映蜗季风的变化。在紧张变化的初步的学习和季风的建立时间,双山峰双山峰,这被发现并且内部季风紧张和建立时间的年变化与海面温度被联系。夏季风在ElNino年里并且反过来也如此更早并且与更高的紧张被建立。

  • 标签: summer MONSOON ESTABLISHMENT INTENSITY SOUTH China
  • 简介:Thelowlatitudeeasterliesat200hPainsummer(May-October)isanalysedclimaticallyduringthe13-yearperiodfrom1968to1980,withaspecialemphasisontherelationshipsbetweentheanomaloustropicaleasterlyjetStreamoverSouthAsiaandthelowlatitudeatmosphericcirculation,andalsothesummermonsoonprecipitationinIndia.ThecompositinganalysisshowsthatthetropicaleasterlyjetstreamoverSouthAsiahasfiveanomalouspatternsat200hPai.e.thewesternpattern,middlepattern,easternpattern,two-branchpatternandmulti-corepattern.EvidencehasshownthattheprecipitaioninIndiaanomalouslyincreasedduringtheanomalousperiodofthewesternpatternandthemiddlepattern,butreversecaseistrueintheeasternpattern.SomedifferentanomaliesoftheprecipitationindifferentareaofIndiawerefoundduringtheothertwoanomalouspattern.

  • 标签: LATITUDE ANOMALOUS TROPICAL TROPICAL MONSOON eastern
  • 简介:非洲或亚洲的居民夏天季风是一个地带地行星规模的系统,与盖住在过去的世纪(1901-2014)并且在最后三十年(1979-2014)期间的interdecadaltimescales上的非洲,南亚和东亚的大规模rainbelt。降水的一个最近的突然的变化发生在1990年代末。从那以后,Afro亚洲季风系统的全部rainbelt以一个协调方法向北进展了。在Huanghe-Huaihe河山谷和Sahel上的降水的一致增加与teleconnection模式由大西洋Multidecadal摆动(AMO)的温暖的阶段激动被联系。与轮流出现的气旋/反气旋,一列teleconnection波浪火车在上面的对流层被检测。沿着teleconnection路径,在诺思非洲的发行量异例的配置被与低级热低压力(集中)上层的反气旋(分叉)联合描绘,便于登上在Sahel的运动的开始和发展。在东亚,同样,acoupled发行量模式也在Huanghe-Huaihe河山谷使上升运动激动。在Sahel和Huanghe-Huaihe河山谷上的降水的同步增加能被归因于同现,上升的同相的变化打手势。在另一方面,AMO的温暖的阶段导致在诺思非洲和东亚的北部分的在上面的对流层的重要温暖。如此的温暖贡献增强热带在东方通过在入口区域(东亚)和出口区域(非洲)两个都增加南方的压力坡度的喷气。因此,在Sahel和Huanghe-Huaihe河山谷上的降水加强,由于ageostrophic第二等的房间。这研究的结果在非洲或亚洲的居民夏天季风为一个一致、整体的interdecadal变化提供证据。

  • 标签: 年代际变化 季风系统 淮河流域 东亚环流 萨赫勒地区 上升运动
  • 简介:InteractionoftheKuroshiowaterandshelfwaterintheTsushimaCurrentregioninsummerGuoBinghuo,1Heung-JaeLie2andJaeHakLee2(ReceivedSe...

  • 标签: Korea WATER SHELF WATER INTERACTION